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Despite Covid-19 setback, PwC forecasts modest media and entertainment growth

September 15, 2020 | By Rande Price, Research Director – DCN @Randeloo

Consumer behavior was transformed by the shelter in place lifestyle during the pandemic. Stay at home policies not only impacted the way we work and shop but also how we consume media. We’ve seen significant changes in consumer media habits as well as those of media infrastructure. Closures of movie theaters and shutting down film and television productions altered our entertainment sources.

To access the effects of the coronavirus and adjust the entertainment and media (E&M) forecasts, PwC delayed the release of its annual Global Entertainment & Media Outlook. The new assessment comes with the realization that for consumers, E&M is centered in the home. It’s now more remote, more virtual and more streamed. PwC estimates that in 2020 the E&M world declines by 5.6% or $120 billion in absolute terms compared to 2019. However, they project the sector grows by 6.4% in 2021. Further, overall revenue grows 2.8% at a compound annual growth rate from 2019 to 2024.

Additional findings:

  • Overall, advertising is expected to recover slowly through 2024. Digital advertising is the important vehicle with mobile advertising revenue as its growth story. Mobile ad revenue is expected to grow at 88.4% with a 60% share of revenue.
  • Cord-cutting continues to rise especially in North America and new over-the-top (OTT) services challenge the global dominance of streaming giants. pWC forecasts the OTT market to almost double in size from $46.4 billion in 2019 to $86.8 billion in 2024.
  • Subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) revenue is expected to exceed box office revenue this year. It’s projected to rise more than twice the size of box office revenue by 2024. Related, global cinema revenues are expected to drop plunge 66% in 2020 and is unlikely to regain momentum.
  • Newspaper revenue declines continue through 2024 declining advertising revenue combined with high paper production and distribution costs.
  • Consumer magazine competition continues to increase from major tech players, magazine aggregators and digital publishers.

Covid-19 fast-tracked many new business strategies for media companies. This shift amplifies the need for media businesses to closely follow changes in consumer media behavior. The ability to pivot operations to meet consumer needs helps generate and diversity revenue opportunities.

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