Inflation often triggers consumers to assess their budgets and rethink essential spending and lifestyle changes. Included in this evaluation are subscription choices. New research, Subscription Economy: a Transformed World, from FT Strategies, Savanta, and Minna Technologies’ identifies the impact of current marketplace conditions on consumer attitudes toward subscriptions.
This research surveyed over 1,000 consumers in the U.S. and the UK, 20 financial services, fintech, and media leaders, and 50 subscription business executives across different content verticals.
Subscription market
The report shows that 25 to 34-year-olds have the most subscriptions, with only 12% reporting no subscription services. The research also indicates that approximately one-third of consumers in the 25 to 54 years old bracket have six or more subscriptions. While 73% of consumers pay for the services they use, 23% pay for some of their services while also using password sharing of accounts paid for by family and friends.
Notably, nine in 10 respondents (93%) report greater awareness of subscription spending than 12 months ago. Nearly half of the consumers state that they know their exact spending on subscriptions and said they are spending more than they did a year ago.
Discretionary spending decisions
Consumers also report that non-discretionary spending (including broadband, utilities, and financial services) on entertainment-based services ‒ TV and film streaming services are the most common subscription-based spending across all age groups. However, entertainment-based subscription offerings are the most likely to be canceled.
In terms of churn, 20% of consumers say they would first cancel TV and film services, followed by music-related consumer services (11%), TV channels (8%), and magazines (7%). Interestingly, younger consumers, ages 18-34, are the least likely to cancel TV and film services first.
Media business leaders identify the ‘watch and go’ mentality of consumers as a critical problem for video streaming services. Half of the executives note that their churn rate is higher this year than last year and are worried about a global rise in subscription cancellations.
Customer focus and retention
Consumers believe subscription services should deliver exceptional user experience, choice, and customer support. Business leaders interviewed by FT Strategies agree and think that subscription businesses must understand their customers’ functional and emotional needs to deliver a first-class customer journey. Further, as consumers understand that their data is part of the value exchange for services, they expect this information to inform a better user experience and advanced personalization.
Managing spending and managing subscriptions is a delicate balance. Consumers desire both “flexibility and control.” Nearly three-quarters of consumers (74%) say they are interested in a single app to manage all subscriptions in one place.
Subscription market forecast
Consumer interest in bundled offerings where several providers make their services available within a single, shared platform will grow. Consumers want to make their money go further, and bundling services may help, i.e., Disney’s exploring how to bundle its theme park benefits alongside its Disney+ content subscription service.
Consumers are also looking for trusted sources of information and thought leadership. This will lead to more subscription offerings incorporating experiential-like events and one-to-one interaction with specific influencers.
Subscriptions and personalization will expand into new business verticals, especially among financial products that offer more control and convenience over consumer financial needs.
The report concludes with retention strategies to create a meaningful and ongoing customer relationship. Subscription businesses must invest in personalization and deliver a positive user experience to meet consumer expectations. If they do not, consumers will easily switch to other services. The customer experience should include pricing sensitivity and choices – i.e., offering a subscription pause option instead of only canceling. Subscription businesses need to identify the right mix of choices and provide a positive value exchange to drive subscriber loyalty and retention.
Subscription fatigue is a major concern for media brands, as top performers consolidate their market position, while new challengers vie for audience attention. Add to that the current economic downturn, and media businesses are rightly concerned about churn rate and revenue. According to recent research, two out of every three people surveyed have canceled at least one service in the last year.
To combat subscription fatigue, media brands need to focus on providing clear value propositions and high quality content, as well as giving consumers more flexibility and control over their subscriptions.
“We have identified two pain points for consumers,” says Sheri Bachstein, CEO of The Weather Company and GM of IBM Watson Advertising. “The first is managing tons of subscriptions in multiple places, and the second is the cost of those multiple subscriptions.”
Innovative bundling solution
One solution is subscription bundling, which can help lower both pricing to the consumer and investment from the brand. Bundling is most viable and financially rewarding when a brand is part of a larger media portfolio, such as Disney or Apple Services. However, not all businesses have such clout.
The Weather Company has come up with an innovative solution by developing a platform that enables bundling across media portfolios. “We are striving to disrupt the subscription economy by going across media companies that aren’t traditionally connected,” says Bachstein.
These bundled subscriptions are another way for the Weather Channel to provide additional value, by aligning with brands that help people make more informed decisions in their daily planning. One surprising collaboration is with ratings organization Consumer Reports.
“The Weather Channel helps consumers make daily decisions about their day, and Consumer Reports does the same thing, by offering valuable information and services. So it was a very natural fit,” explains Bachstein. “I expect we will see more collaborations like this in the future, but it is certainly one of the first.”
This latest bundle helps consumers access the latest weather along with news, ratings or shopping information in one location. Other partnerships include USA Today, MightyNest Shop and TripAdvisor Plus.
A compelling package
“It’s unusual to have different companies together, offering discounts on a bundle, but our partners are carefully chosen,” states Jason Fox, VP Chief Digital Officer at Consumer Reports. “Both the Weather Channel and Consumer Reports are highly trusted, non-partisan organizations, so we compliment each other well. You could call us ‘post partisan’ as we represent the larger demographic of society and we are proud of that.”
As a non-profit organization, subscriptions make up the bulk of Consumer Reports’ revenue. Therefore, Fox says it’s critical to bring their product to a new audience, while creating a more compelling package for their current customers in order to reduce churn,
“The average U.S. consumer is willing to take out between five and eight subscription services,” Fox explains. “The likes of Netflix, Disney Plus and larger media companies, such as The Wall Street Journal and New York Times take the bulk of this, so we are fighting for remaining slots.”
In addition to driving subscriptions numbers, Fox says the bundle with the Weather Channel is part of their wider growth strategy. “It’s about brand awareness and getting our name out there as a leader in the space,” he says. “While this is an ancillary benefit, and not the main reason for this partnership, it’s an important part of our growth strategy.”
Bachstein agrees that partnering with businesses who share the same mission and values helps strengthen their brands overall, while leveraging their audiences. “I honestly can’t think of a reason to not bundle,” Bachstein states. “You extend your reach, extend the brand and extend your direct to consumer relationship. And if the technology is already built for you, as it is with the Weather Channel, then it’s a win win.”
Subscription innovation
So, what should media executives be thinking about when evaluating the opportunity to bundle?
“It’s important that both brands complement and trust each other,” says Bachstein. “You don’t want to share a competitive space, you should be adjacent verticals, with shared values and orientations. That’s the sweet spot. To use cable channels as an analogy, you want to have a portfolio approach that offers a value proposition to your consumers.”
Value is key in the current climate. Statista predicts that by 2025 there will be 1.5 trillion subscriptions in the US alone, with the average person spending $1k a year on subscription services. However, consumers increasingly want more value, more advanced features and a more premium experience.
“At a high level it’s really important for a company to think about subscription innovation,” says Fox. “It’s one thing is to set up a paywall, but anyone can do that. It’s about what makes you distinct from others. I really believe that in the world of commoditised content if you are not offering something special it will be a hard sell to create a meaningful subscriptions business. This idea of coming together and offering something greater than we can do individually, is really powerful.”
From audience analytics to programmatic advertising and automated story creation, media companies have used Artificial Intelligence (AI) for some time. However, this technology is rapidly maturing and opening up new creative and business possibilities that media executives need to be aware of.
ChatGPT, an AI chatbot, is the current poster child for this robotic reckoning. Garnering a huge amount of column inches in recent weeks, the application can provide detailed answers to questions and prompts. Along with other AI-generated innovations like the portrait app Lensa and OpenArt – a gallery of works created by AI – these tools have inspired the latest wave of discussion about the implications of this technology.
Amidst copious innovation and optimism, concerns have also surfaced around AI-generated content, consent, bias, labeling and regulation, as well as the impact on labor markets. None of these issues are going to go away any time soon. Nevertheless, while media companies and policymakers navigate this unfolding landscape, the roll-out and adoption of AI continues to gather pace.
Artificial intelligence at work in the media
With AI having a real moment right now, this is the perfect time to explore the ramifications for media companies. Here are six uses of AI technologies that need to be on your radar:
1. Driving engagement
One of the most common ways publishers are using AI and machine learning is through AI-powered algorithms which personalize content recommendations.
This can help increase engagement and keep readers on your site for longer. That’s particularly useful if time on site is a key performance metric. Of course, it can also enable you to serve more adds to your audience too.
Personalized recommendation technology has long been the mainstay of platforms like Amazon, Spotify, and Netflix. Now it’s becoming increasingly common for other forms of content too.
One early proponent, The Washington Post, uses AI to personalize the news that they deliver based on readers interests and preferences. It’s an approach they’ve been using for some time across their app, newsletters and now the homepage.
Sign up page for The Washington Post’s “For You” newsletter, highlighting the personalized nature of this product (Dec. 2022)
As Digiday explains, the Post offers a personalized “For You” section on the homepage that taps into information provided during onboarding. At sign-up, subscribers or registered users can select their topic preferences. Recommendations are further augmented by your reading history and other performance data.
It’s an area the Post looks set to double down on, as they and other outlets seek to move to a more tailored content offering and away from the “one size fits all” approach of yesteryear.
One of these models, dynamic paywalls, deploys AI to change free article limits. As a result, users hit the paywall at different times, based on their behaviors and other indicators that help to determine a consumer’s propensity to pay.
“Piano has seen visitors subscribe after a single pageview. Others take much longer to make the decision to convert, while some aren’t likely to ever subscribe at all,” Kaufman observes. In response to this variance, he argues, we need “smarter, more satisfying automation.”
AI can help. New York Media and Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ, Switzerland) are just some of the publishers to adopt this model. They have used AI to determine individual paywalls, based on variables including geography, consumption habits and visit behavior, as well as subject matter and the device being used. Expect more publishers to follow suit.
3. Creating content
Many early newsroom experiments with AI focused on the potential to craft stories that typically follow a predictable formula.
One of the earliest to leverage AI for content creation, The Associated Press (AP) has been using AI since 2014 to generate summaries of earnings reports from publicly traded companies. This allows them to quickly and accurately provide readers with key information, freeing up reporters to do other work. “Prior to using AI, our editors and reporters spent countless resources on coverage that was important but repetitive,” their website notes, adding that this “distracted from higher-impact journalism.”
Alongside freeing up reporters, the technology has allowed AP to create more of this content. Automated story generation has enabled AP to increase the volume of these corporate stories by a factor of 10.
At a simpler level, AI is also being used to liberate resources otherwise hoovered up by resource-heavy work such as interview transcriptions.
AP is currently working with local newsrooms to help them increase their use of AI tools. In a survey asking what would be the most useful use of this technology, automating transcription came top.
Image: via AP
4. Distributing content
A further potential benefit of AI can be seen in its ability to support publishers in their desire to get material in front of audiences – wherever they may be.
POLITICO Europe has used AI to convert two of their popular newsletters, Brussels Playbook and London Playbook into daily podcasts. The audio option gives subscribers another way to consume this content on the go.
This type of technological solution can help publishers manage their resources more efficiently, as well as distribute content to different platforms in a timely and cost-effective manner.
A further mainstream iteration of this idea is also being developed by Google. Dyani Najdi, Managing Director of Video and Display EMEA, has highlighted how the tech giant is experimenting with a tool to reformat landscape videos for YouTube. Viewers will see videos in square or vertical formats, with the shape automatically determined by how you are accessing the platform.
Although currently only available for certain video-ad products, it’s not a big leap to imagine this being used for other content in the near future. If it is, that would be a huge time-saver for many publishers. A further boon is the possibility of this technology opening up new distribution avenues, without the time and expense of repurposing everything.
Where we go from here: two trends to keep an eye on
The manner in which AI is being employed is constantly changing. Its possibilities have sparked discussion about the implications for education, journalism and other creative work, as well as the wider knowledge economy.
Within that, here are two key AI-trends for publishers to closely follow and potentially adopt.
1. Leveling-up content, and ad, personalization
Based on their interests and preferences, AI can personalize the news that publishers deliver to readers. Its usage is only likely to increase and become more ubiquitous.
More than 9,000 publishers use Taboola’s recommendation platform. Earlier in the year, they announced that AI functionality had been added to their homepage techstack. The company said that in beta testing companies such as McClatchy, The Independent and Estado de Minas in Brazil, had seen a 30% – 50% increase in clickthrough rates for homepage sections personalized by Taboola.
Alongside content, AI can also be used to deliver a better ad experience. Publishers like Condé Nast are using machine learning to find patterns that can lead to more personalized and contextual ads. In a cookie-less future this type of approach will be essential if ads are to be targeted and relevant.
2. Improving and streamlining workflows
With cuts being seen across the media landscape, a key challenge for publishers in 2023 will involve maintaining output levels (never mind launching new products and verticals) with fewer staff.
AI may help here, given its ability to be used for A/B headline testing and other forms of predictive analysis. It can also tag and generate content such as business, sports and real estate stories. Or, as seen at Forbes, provide detailed prompts for writers.
It can further support social media and off-platform strategies too. The South China Morning Postsaved resources akin to work done by 3.9 full-time employees by using AI to streamline its social media management.
Meanwhile, in Germany, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung has used AI to help editors understand which stories to put behind the paywall. This matters given their freemium model, and the need to balance free content that drives subscriptions with premium subscriber-only content that readers value.
The big picture
This list of uses is far from exhaustive. To it we can also add important developments such as the ability of AI to help address inequalities (through the automatic creation of audio articles, and work to measure gender disparity in news coverage), as well as the rise of automated fact checking and many others.
Although no one knows how this technology will play out, it’s clear that AI can play a valuable role in helping publishers with their operations. As a result, it is no surprise that key activities unlocked by this technology – such as data analytics and automation – are among the top investment areas for publishers in the coming year.
Previously, as the Knight Foundation has found, “when we talk[ed] about AI in newsrooms, we seem to lean heavily on the newsgathering part of the process and maybe do not pay as much attention to the product or the business side of the ecosystem.”
In 2023, that may begin to change, as we see an overdue shift in the thinking about the role that AI plays in supporting the strategic needs of publishers.
From shaping the content you see (Pink News’ positive news filter), to aiding with translations of new international editions (Le Monde’s digital English language product) and improving your SEO (Summari and other tools), AI is here to stay and increasingly integral to publisher strategies.
Against a challenging business backdrop, as outlets begin to focus more on areas like product, subscriptions and retention, AI’s contribution to a publisher’s success will become more prominent and important than ever.
It’s been another breakneck year for the media industry. Every year at Media Voices we round up the biggest moments from the past 12 months, and explore how they impact publishers. This year was certainly not short of industry-defining events, and Media Moments 2022 summarizes these across 10 chapters, from advertising and subscriptions to newsletters and emerging technology.
Stepping back from the big moments of cookie delays, Twitter takeovers, and bumpy ad markets, there have been a number of developments this year which have the potential to shape publishing strategies in 2023 and beyond. Here are seven key themes from the report that will inform your approach moving forward:
1. Adblocking has returned to an all–time high
The days of adblocking causing sleepless nights for publishers seemed to be long–gone. Between the demise of third–party cookies and vigorous blocklists costing huge amounts of revenue, executives in the ad department have had plenty of other things to worry about.
Unfortunately, adblocking needs to move back up on the agenda. It has returned to levels last seen at the peak of the phenomenon in 2018, with 290 million web users actively blocking ads worldwide, according to the 2022 PageFair Adblock Report. This is an average of 21% across all geos and verticals. Solutions to tackle the problem are in short supply, and are likely to remain so unless it is prioritized again.
2. Streaming accounts for the majority time spent with TV
In August, streaming officially topped cable as the most popular method by which people in the U.S. consume television content. According to Nielsen, which runs a monthly Gauge study of TV consumption, streaming now makes up more than one–third (34.8%) of all television consumption, overtaking cable (34.4%), and far ahead of broadcast (21.6%).
Unsurprisingly, streaming powerhouses like Netflix, YouTube, Amazon Prime Video, and Disney+ are leading the charge. However, this is a notable milestone for streamers across the board. It marks a major shift in how audiences – especially younger people – engage with what we’ve traditionally thought of as television content. This opens more opportunities for publishers in the video space to get well–told stories in front of audiences. But it also means that the video landscape is more fractured than ever.
3. Local news can be profitable on just reader revenue
The past five or so years has seen local news start–ups grow all over the world as access to publishing and revenue tools has opened up. Some have shown real promise this year, offering tantalizing glimpses of a sustainable future for local publishers.
In the U.K., The Manchester Mill, a Substack–based local news publisher, reached profitability last month with just 1,600 paying subscribers. The two–year–old brand says they are profitable off annualized subscription revenue of around $164,000. Founder Joshi Herrmann has launched two sister titles off the back of its success: the Liverpool Post and Sheffield Tribune, which are at 650 and 900 paying subscribers respectively.
For local news to truly thrive, we will need to move beyond models of just one or two reporters per city. But the early green shoots of success are encouraging.
4. There’s no sign of subscriptions decline…yet
Following Netflix’s Q2 subscriber tumble, many analysts have forecast a downturn in subscriptions. As economic pressures begin to bite, almost 30% of consumers polled by Toolkits and the National Research Group said that they planned to reduce the number of online subscriptions they hold.
But the second half of 2022 has shown that the subscriptions market is resilient. Netflix saw a spectacular bounceback in Q3, adding 2.41 million new subscribers and beating its own and analyst expectations. Publishers are seeing continued growth too: AOP members reported digital subscriptions growth at almost 15% over the last 12 months. Some have reported record performances, from the New York Times’ 9 million subscriber milestone to The Economist posting its most profitable year since 2016 on the back of 1.2 million subscribers, and total subscription revenues accounting for more than 60% of its revenues.
We may yet see a downturn depending on how pressures on consumers play out over winter. But for now, people are happy to pay for content they find valuable.
5. Email newsletters are an unexploited revenue opportunity
Email may be one of the oldest forms of digital communication, but as a revenue driver it is still very under–used by mainstream publishers. Despite the wave of Substack–led paid newsletter creators over the past few years, few publishers have attempted anything similar themselves.
A recent report from WAN–IFRA highlighted the opportunity gap around email newsletters. 48% of publishers they surveyed did not monetize their newsletters. Of those that did, advertising and exclusive sponsorships were used by 32% and 16% respectively. Significantly, newsletters were used as part of a subscription bundle rather than standalone offering were used by 30% of publishers.
Quartz is one publisher who dropped its paywall entirely this year. Interestingly, they still kept the membership scheme, and instead have a suite of premium emails they send to members. “We found that 75% of Quartz members read us primarily through email, so we’ve been putting more of our best stuff directly in their inboxes,” said CEO Zach Seward.
When it comes to advertising, I wouldn’t wish the ad tech that plagues the rest of the internet on our email inboxes. But the tech to improve the advertising experience in email via personalisation and segmentation is getting there. Now, we just have to behave responsibly with it. Newsletters have a reputation as a premium engagement method for a good reason.
6. News headlines are in a negative spiral
Following the headline findings from the Reuters Digital News Report about the growing issue of news avoidance, there has been much discussion this year on how to rebuild trust with audiences. As publishers compete for attention online, they have found ways of standing out and getting readers to click and share content. But this isn’t necessarily positive.
One study in particular from PLoS ONE showed just the extent to which media headlines have become increasingly negative over the past two decades. The research showed headlines expressing anger were up 104% since the year 2000, fear, 150%, and sadness 54%. This isn’t because the world has got worse, even if “permacrisis” is the word of the year for 2022. Rather, negative and emotionally–arousing headlines are more likely to attract clicks and attention, which in turn means more revenue for publishers.
It’s a difficult cycle to break. The sheer amount of competition for attention means that it’s understandable publishers have to find ways of breaking through the noise. But the long–term effects of stoking outrage and despair on a near–constant basis are just beginning to be recognized.
7. Some emerging tech is good to jump on early. Others, not so much!
Publishers who tried early experiments in NFTs have been richly rewarded. From digital covers to archive images, NFT projects have generated millions for brands like TIME, The Economist, Forbes, and Playboy over the past few years.
However, the bottom has since fallen out of the NFT market, driven by the tough year cryptocurrency has had. NFT trading volumes collapsed 97% between January and September this year. So it’s not surprising to see publishers like CNN wrapping up their NFT marketplaces and projects.
Caution in other areas, however, is wise. Apart from a couple of publishers like Vogue testing metaverse experiences, it has been mainly consumer brands rushing to the space.
Audiences so far have not followed. Meta had aimed to have 500,000 monthly active users for its flagship platform Horizon Worlds by the end of 2022. By October, they had revised that figure down to 280,000, although the current tally is allegedly less than 200k. Other metaverse platforms are also struggling; audits on Sandbox and Decentraland have shown that user numbers are small. Platforms seeing success like Roblox are primarily built for gaming. As yet, there is little justification for publishers to lever themselves into the metaverse at great expense.
Trends and strategy
What is more evident when compared with previous years is how quickly things can crash. We suspected when authoring last year’s edition that, for example, that the NFT bubble would burst. We couldn’t have foreseen that would happen just months later.
Instead, innovation – whether that be audience-building, revenue generation or product – is to be found in formats that have been around for decades. Podcasts, newsletters and apps have been used by publishers of all shapes and sizes this year to deepen relationships and reduce churn. The key is to be where your audience is with a product that they need. And so far, you won’t find them in the metaverse.
Content may want to be free, but that’s not always a sustainable business model. So, what content are users — especially the highly coveted younger demographic — willing to pay for, and why? It’s a broad question but one that’s worth trying to answer.
Massive amounts of time and money have been spent trying to figure this out. So we are aggregating many of the most salient data points to find out what younger generations are opening their virtual wallets for — and what they can do without.
Gaming
Gaming is hugely popular among all generations — especially for young people — and it holds more meaning than mere entertainment. According to 2022 research by Deloitte, 80% of U.S. adults report playing video games, and the practice is almost universal among younger adults: a whopping 96% of Gen Z and Millennials identify as gamers. The study on media trends in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, and Japan found that these young adults play 11 hours per week. 57% of Boomers and Mature audiences identified as gamers in the same survey, reporting an average of six hours per week gaming. Gen Z adults rank video gaming as their favorite entertainment activity in all countries surveyed.
More than three-quarters (78%) of U.S. gamers in Deloitte’s study report that the practice relaxes them; 61% said gaming helps them express themselves. In addition, 59% agree gaming has helped them through a difficult time, and 53% say gaming keeps them connected socially. These numbers show video games’ importance to people’s lives, especially the more immersive, complex games.
Gaming also leads users to discover other media content. For example, in Deloitte’s survey, 51% of U.S. and 71% of Brazilians said they often discover new music while gaming. While online immersive gaming worlds like Second Life are typically free to join, gamers often choose to spend money on branded virtual goods or even physical merchandise bought in-world. In-game live events such as music concerts are popular, with a quarter of U.S. gamers attending an in-game event last year. According to Deloitte, 82% of those attending live in-game events have made a purchase because of the event. Worth noting is that 65% of the purchases were digital goods, and 34% were physical merchandise, an indication of the overlap between real-world and virtual selves.
Over half of Gen Alpha and Gen Z players have spent money on a game over the past six months, according to a recent report by Newzoo, and 33% of them did so on a mobile device. While young users appear less likely to pay upfront for games on mobile devices due to the prevalence of free games, they are likely to spend money in-game for virtual goods such as currency, gear, or characters. Newzoo reports these are a particular draw for young users, with 93% of Gen Alpha and 91% of Gen Z gamers reporting having made such purchases over the past six months.
According to Voxburner, the most popular games among Gen Z are Minecraft (76%), Call of Duty (73%), and Fortnite (68%). Roblox and Animal Crossing are also popular. While the mobile versions of these games are free or low-cost to install, companies are raking it in via ads and in-app purchases. For example, Fortnite made over $9 billion in its first two years, even though it is free to join and optional purchases such as skins are aesthetic with no impact on gameplay.
Streaming Video on Demand (SVOD)
Perhaps habituated by customizable gaming experiences, younger audiences seem to be customizing their video streaming experience — at least when it comes to spending. As a result, younger users of SVOD services are more likely than older users to churn through services — by joining and then canceling, sometimes repeatedly, according to Deloitte.
The study found Gen Z consumers are especially sensitive to more expensive services, engaging in “churn and return” — repeatedly canceling and rejoining. This behavior enables them to acquire desired content — like a new season of a favorite series — while avoiding paying for a service when they aren’t using it. In the U.S., 35% of Gen Z users and 38% of Millennials surveyed had canceled and renewed streaming video services during the last 12 months, compared to just 7% of Boomers and older generations.
Similarly, a Morning Consult study demonstrated users of all ages prefer ad-sponsored content that is free or lower cost to higher subscription costs — and Gen Z adults are the most cost-averse when it comes to monthly fees. Only 16% of Gen Z adults surveyed spend more than $30 a month on streaming services, compared to 31% of Millennials. These findings suggest ad-funded tiers could cut churn rates, as subscribers are unlikely to cancel a service with no monthly fee.
Research also suggests that combining media offerings is appealing to younger users. For example, 51% of Gen Zs and Millennials in Deloitte’s survey indicated they would stay with their SVOD subscription if it included gaming, a music service, or another SVOD service.
Social Media
While social media platforms offer free admission, time spent there often leads to purchases. Deloitte found 70% of people in the U.S. say they follow an influencer, and more than half of Gen Z and Millennials say these influencers sway their purchasing decisions.
Social media ads are highly targeted and personalized. More than half of American respondents, 72% of Brazilians, and about 40% in the United Kingdom, Germany, and Japan surveyed by Deloitte say they see ads on social media for products or services they have been seeking. Additionally, 39% of Japanese respondents say that shopping is among the top three activities they engage in on social media.
News
Research by The Knight Foundation found most U.S. Gen Z and Millennials surveyed (65% and 64%, respectively) said it is fair to pay for news, at least under some circumstances. Only 39% of Boomers agreed. About half of Gen Z and Millennials say it is reasonable for news organizations to charge for events; 37% of Gen Z respondents say it is reasonable to charge for exclusive or special content.
Although Gen Z through Gen X report paying less attention to all forms of news compared with the national average, more Gen Z and Millennials say they are willing to pay for news in the future, compared to older generations (22% of Millenials versus 12% of Boomers). Conversely, younger audiences were also more likely to agree that news should be free for all users via government funding and/or private donations: 30% of Gen Z agreed news should be free, compared to 17% of Boomers. Gen X and Boomers are more likely to agree it is fair to support news through advertising (38% and 31%, respectively) than Gen Z (20%).
Research from the American Press Institute’s Media Insight Project showed Gen Z and Millennials are more likely to pay for streaming services that include news content (57%) than pay for news directly (28%).
According to the Knight report, 52% of Gen Z — compared to 45% of Boomers— say they look elsewhere for news content when encountering a paywall. About twice as many Gen Zs (10%) as Boomers (6%) and the Silent Generation (5%) say they try to find the story on social media instead. In addition, boomers (29%) and Gen X (33%) are more likely to skip the news story altogether when encountering a paywall compared to Gen Z (21%). So while younger adults may believe it’s fair for news organizations to charge fees, they also appear to think it’s fair game to try to evade those fees by seeking similar content elsewhere.
Key takeaways for media companies
Young consumers avoid paying for costly subscriptions by churning through the service. Therefore, SVOD companies should explore low-cost or free ad-supported tier options less likely to be dropped by frugal users.
Young people tend to be committed gamers willing to spend money on in-game enhancements. So bundles and perks that include gaming could help SVOD services — and other media companies — retain more subscribers.
While younger generations believe it’s fair for news providers to be publicly funded and/or charge for unique content, they also seek news elsewhere when faced with paywalls. A twofold approach of bundling subscriptions while enabling premium single-serving content to be purchased ala carte may succeed with younger users who expect interconnected experiences with optional or customizable payment options.
Younger audiences may be highly sought after, but their preferences are pretty straightforward. Publishers paying attention to these desires can build packages that cater to them and build a loyal audience for years to come.
“Only journalism will save journalism,” says Juan Señor, an award-winning journalist andPresident of the Innovation Media Consulting Group.It is heartening that, as he points out, “people have rediscovered journalism.” Its importance has been cemented over the past several years, he says, “starting with The Trump Bump. Then the pandemic. Now we have a war.”
Señor argues that high-quality, distinctive reporting produced during these tumultuous periods has had an impact. Now, he says publishers need to “keep this momentum going.”
This is a point he emphasizes in the latest Innovation in News Media World Report*, which Señor co-edits. He and fellow editor Jayant Sriram write that “we need to build from this position of strength, even as the media world at large is in a period of unprecedented flux.”
How can publishers do this? Based on our conversation with Señor, and his latest Innovation Report, here are fiverecommendations for publishers as they look ahead to the uncertainties of the New Year.
1. Keep your foot on the subscription gas
“The key thing is to press on with subscriptions,” Señor recommends. He is bullish about reader revenue, stressing the subscription spike many publishers have witnessed in the past few years. “People know they have to pay for news,” he says, “so be the one that they pay for.”
FIPP’s new Q3 Digital Subscription Snapshot finds that “growth for most brands remains healthy, with period-on-period gains of 5% or more for many.” But growth is slowing, cautions CEO James Hewes. Gains are “significantly down” from this time last year, “when low double-digit growth might have been expected each quarter.”
The cost of living crisis, coupled with rises in many subscriptions, may all be contributing to this. FIPP also points to a maturing of this market. That means that “it is inevitable that growth percentages will begin to decline.”
Despite this, Señor urges publishers to stay the course. “Keep pushing [subscriptions] first and foremost as a strategic priority,” he says, “even if it means heavy discounts.”
A key factor behind this rationale is the cost of attracting new subscribers, which is typically more expensive than keeping new ones. That’s one reason why many publishers are increasingly investing in efforts to reduce churn.
The habitual, relationship-based, nature of media consumption also matters. As economic conditions improve, you may be able to nudge up prices or upsell existing consumers. That’s harder to do with audiences who have churned off.
Retention tactics identified by the American Press Institute and featured in the Innovation in Media 2022-23 World Report.
2. Continue to explore opportunities for revenue diversification
Alongside maintaining relationships with existing audiences, publishers need to continue to find new routes to revenue. To help them do this, the latest Innovation Report outlines 14 different business models publishers can adopt. Publishers can mix and match these efforts to pull together a good range of diversified offerings.
Aside from subscription-led approaches, other possibilities include a blend of B2B and B2C models such as memberships, events, affiliate marketing, and “think tank” style output. Educational activities, such as those offered by The Economist’s Executive Education program and Family Handman’s DIY University, may also be a good fit for some publishers and their audiences.
As many publishers know, if you wait long enough, then everything old becomes new again. In this regard, Señoris excited about what he describes as “the original habit-formation tool for newspapers – puzzles and games.”
The New York Times’ acquisition of Wordle is the poster child for this, having brought “unprecedented tens of millions of new users to The Times.” And, as The Innovation Report points out, “If even a fraction can then be converted to paying subscribers it would make for an excellent business proposition.”
Puzzles and games are again in vogue as gateways for publishers to capture new subscribers, generate fresh revenue streams and increase the “stickiness” of their relationships with audiences.
Nevertheless, as Esther Kezia Thorpesuggests, “offering games is not a strategy in itself … Publishers need to find ways to bring regular puzzlers into a deeper relationship,” she says, “whether that be through newsletters, social features, or additional layers to the games themselves.”
Examples of different publisher business models, from the Innovation in News Media World Report 2022-23
3. Unlock the power – and results – of product thinking
Publishers have invested – and continue to invest – considerable resources in areas such as games, newsletters, and podcasts. Much of this is driven by a belief that these ventures can serve as a gateway to your content and drive subscriptions and aid retention by deepening bonds with their consumers. Señor calls them “conversion monsters.”
These efforts reflect product thinking, which has risen to the forefront of media strategies over the past decade.
“Product thinking begins with realizing that every way people experience the news is a possible product or feature,” the Innovation Report observes.
Each of these touchpoints, of course, is also potentially monetizable.
As a result, “publishers must now become product companies and not just news media publishers,” Señor believes. That’s a sentiment increasingly applicable to revenue strategies, as well as content propositions.
“Product is changing everything,” agrees Luciana Cardoso, the Brazil-based Vice Chair of News Product Alliance’s Board Of Directors. Cardoso comments on how product is a driver for innovation “because we need to have the customer at the center of everything.”
4. Be tech-led, not led by tech
This desire to be more consumer-centric, is accentuated by the need for publishers to prepare for a world without third-party cookies. Describing this as a ”first-party data moment,” Señor says these developments are “the key to a stronger future for our industry.”
“First-party data gives us the chance to have a direct relationship, control the pricing, content and dialogue with our readers without intermediaries,” the Innovation Report states. “This is a massive shift and one we must prepare for.”
Publishers must also look to the possibilities of Web 3.0. Señor points to the availability of “journalism without browsers” as one critical dimension of this brave new digital world.
“When you look at how Condé Nast is experimenting with this, it’s very, very interesting,” he told us.
One of their titles, GQ magazine, recently launched on Discord. “The way that we are thinking about it is we are throwing a party, GQ is the host, Discord is the venue and you are invited,” says Joel Pavelski, GQ’s Executive Director of Global Audience Development & Social Media.
Condé’s approach enables them to engage with communities in private online spaces, potentially reaching new audiences and serving existing ones in fresh ways. It’s part of a “conscious uncoupling” some publishers are having with traditional tech platforms; and part of a wider shift in media habits seen within the creator economy.
Tapping into these emerging spaces and behaviors may reveal insights that can inform continued product thinking, drive subscription models, as well as support and shape first-party data strategies.
5. Invest in content, especially visual media
Despite encouraging publishers to keep a watchful eye on emerging tech trends, Señor emphasizes that organizations shouldn’t go overboard.
In terms of the industry’s wider financial footing, “the Metaverse, Web 3, none of this stuff will make the difference,” he contends. “What will make the difference is investment in journalism.”
“We need to do original reporting. A lot of people want that,” Señor says.
As part of this, he stresses the importance of high-impact visual journalism, which he believes is “absolutely essential,” and “perhaps the most exciting new field in journalism right now.”
Product thinking can also shape how – and where – these visual-first stories are told. ”This is transformative,” Señor says, pointing out how many of these efforts are driven by a “story first, platform second” dynamic.
Memorable examples, such as video Op-Ed’s pioneered by The New York Times and The Miami Herald’s award-winning “House of Cards” investigation, can also yield multiple outcomes for publishers. Impactful content can be integral to industry recognition (e.g. awards), and a key driver for unlocking new subscriptions, as well as the retention and upselling of existing consumers.
House of Cards: @MiamiHerald’s interactive investigation of the Champlain Towers South collapse is a riveting real-time multimedia masterpiece that helps make sense of the senseless tragedy that killed 98 people with corruption, incompetence and neglect https://t.co/ObrRnUL9vC
Strategic synergies: bringing these principles together
Noting that next year’s Innovation Report will be their 23rd annual publication, Señor says the examples they feature are focused on reach, relevance, or revenue. Often, these elements are deeply intertwined.
Parlaying that relevance into different spaces and products, and encouraging audiences to pay for it, remains essential if publishers are to traverse stormy economic waters and successfully navigate their way through 2023.
“Whatever you do, put all your efforts into gaining and retaining subscribers,” Señor advocates. Everything should be “about sustaining, developing, [and] amplifying your subscription strategy.”
There’s a myriad of interconnected ways to do this. This includes multiple means to generate revenues, distinctive products to attract and retain subscribers, the knock-on effect of memorable – often visually-led – journalism, as well as deepening relationships with audiences both on and off-platform; including in new and emerging digital spaces.
This consumer-centric model eschews the shiny object syndrome that many media players have been guilty of in the past. Instead, as a new year begins to loom on the horizon, focusing on solid content-led foundations should be their guiding light.
As the sun sets on 2022, publishers will once again set sail and steer a path into an uncertain future. Meeting audience needs through the trifecta of content, product and subscriptions, must be their North Star as we quickly advance into these unchartered waters.
*The Innovation In News Media World Report 2022-23 is available to WAN-IFRA members (for free) or for purchase via INNOVATION’s website.
As we approach the end of 2022, it’s never too early to plan promotions and set an end-of-year calendar for your organization.
These initiatives often require buy-in from the whole company. While editorial and marketing teams often lead the effort, product, technology, ad sales and senior leaders all play important roles. That’s especially true when an organization is shifting from an advertising-first strategy, focused on pageviews and engagement, to a user-centered strategy. The entire team will need to be aligned on KPIs and work together to execute the digital subscription strategy.
Key roles for successful subscription marketing
The most successful subscription publishers have dedicated resources for their digital subscription business that allow them to market their offerings nimbly, and continuously optimize their efforts. For those building or growing their teams, the following roles are foundational for success:
Head of consumer revenue
A senior revenue leader directly influences the future of the company and its business model, focusing on sales and everything that drives them, like marketing campaigns and product pricing.
This individual sets group goals and KPIs and typically is not executing day-to-day efforts, but does ensure campaigns are focused on the proper channels and customers, using the most impactful messaging. The head of consumer revenue usually has product knowledge and understands what makes the product unique and valuable to users in order to monetize it.
Marketing manager
A marketing manager is typically the person who oversees day-to-day marketing campaigns.
They possess experience identifying target audiences and executing campaigns that target, engage, and convert users throughout the customer journey.
This person should have a background in digital marketing or audience engagement to be most successful at understanding the audience and how to serve them with the right message at the right time in the most impactful way. Their goals are to enhance sales and remind existing users of their benefits. Subscriptions aren’t a set-it-and-forget-it business, so the marketing manager is also important for testing different aspects of the user experience to constantly be iterating and improving campaigns.
Creative team
Every publisher needs a resource with a creative mindset to help provide a frictionless UX while adhering to company brand guidelines. In many organizations, copy comes from the marketing manager and then designers ensure the look, feel and messaging of the campaign are aligned.
When design and copy are complete, a front-end developer may build templates to use with the software that’s serving promotions. Developers are often shared resources, so we always recommend creating templates with content fields whenever possible so that others on the marketing team can create variations—updating messaging, changing headlines, moving forward with new tests or promotions, etc.—without that technical background.
Data team
It’s helpful to have data analysts working closely across functions to help marketers understand what audience segments they are looking at and what information they have about them. Based on this performance, data experts can then help enhance segmentation and build out additional campaigns. They can answer questions like, where are the low-hanging fruit? Where can you drive business? How are campaigns performing among specific audience segments? Where is there an opportunity to iterate and improve results?
As a subscription business grows, the data team ultimately plays a critical role in benchmarking KPIs like cost of acquisition, customer lifetime value, retention rates and more. More sophisticated data scientists can also provide attribution models, revenue forecasting, or even come up with creative algorithms to segment your audience.
Tech team
Although they might not be needed on a daily basis, having a technical team that can support your business is very important. This group is aware and understands the technical objectives and gains knowledge of systems and processes, learning how relevant data is leveraged throughout the organization. They can also make sure integrations are functional and that data is passed correctly between systems, which is important for making strategic recommendations around price, revenue, etc.
If there’s a single most important factor in successfully marketing a subscription program, it’s having a top leader in the newsroom and someone on the business side engaged and in agreement that subscriptions are the priority. The group can build a marketing team to be responsible for executing this strategy.
How trials & promotions can help
Depending on how complex your organization’s audience segmentation is, trials and promotions can be worthwhile for all segments if they’re well-planned and used appropriately. How can you plan now to offer the right trials and promotions in the coming months?
Trials are a way to offer sampling; in other words, trying the product before a user makes a long-term and possibly expensive commitment. In subscription, these can have a big impact on conversion rate: At Piano, we’ve seen between a 20% and 150% lift in conversions after users enter a trial period.
However, free trials on annual subscriptions are not recommended. These typically result in very low retention rates and negate much of the benefit of offering a trial in the first place. One exception is to offer introductory pricing for annual subscribers. This can be an effective way to incentivise choosing a longer subscription.
Nonetheless, promotions are a way to encourage conversion among users who might otherwise consider a product too expensive, or who previously passed on an offer to subscribe. Through pricing research, you should be able to map out a revenue curve that helps you understand what different user segments might be willing to pay and how that impacts your overall revenue projections.
Running promotions creates a sense of urgency and pushes users to convert: At Piano, we’ve seen a 64% lift in revenue during a month with promotional offers, relative to the month prior. But the key is making these promotions targeted, temporary and irregular. Keep the offers in the market for a week or two at most, allowing the most motivated, price-sensitive users to respond.
The right team will help guide you on the effectiveness and performance of trials and promotions. With strong leadership, there’s still time to put in place a strong subscription marketing plan for the rest of the year and beyond.
Readers and publishers both suffer from the negative effects of churn.
Obviously, publishers hate seeing readers suddenly cancel a subscription. For publishers, losing a long-term subscriber is upsetting for both the brand and bottom line.
However, readers also hate it when their subscription is suddenly terminated due to a simple mistake such as forgetting to update their subscription with a new credit card number or billing address. There they are, in the middle of reading a hard-hitting series of crime reporting, or need-to-know business information, when bam: the content is blocked. Then, they get a message like: “You’ve lost access to this content. Please contact customer service to fix the issue with your payment method”. After a few moments of uncertainty, some will make the effort required to rectify the situation. Others will seek out information elsewhere.
Having their subscription suddenly end—which is the nature of cancellations due to payment errors—disrupts the subscriber’s experience and may cause them to lose trust in the reliability of your publication. However, this disruptive experience is avoidable with the right strategy and infrastructure.
Read on to discover some tried and true strategies that help publishers (like the ones we work with) keep readers more connected to their digital subscriptions. Try these tested methods to defeat subscriber churn:
1. Diligently remind subscribers of the amazing content they’re paying for
Getting the most value of a publishing subscription takes on different meanings for different folks. One thing is for sure: people like to stay informed of the valuable content that their subscription provides. And, significantly, low usage is the primary indicator that readers are about to cancel a subscription.
Help your readers stay engaged by keeping them updating about new content and reminding them of new features and updates that would enable them to use the subscription more often. Sending out brief reminder emails reminds your readers that their subscription has value.
Refinery29 does a great job at reminding its readers. The weekly newsletter makes a list of seven to ten most popular articles, slaps on a catchy email subject line to entice readers to open the email, and makes every article mentioned linkable so the reader can easily go to the main website. This is a genius combination that generates high open rates and CTRs.
2. Connect digital and physical subscription experiences
Sometimes a digital subscription isn’t enough. Readers may want the option to receive hard copies or to read some articles on their tablets. Connecting the digital and physical subscription experiences is a must for publications to truly thrive in 2023.
Reader’s Digest regularly sends mailers and emails asking subscribers for their preferences, announcing new features and editions, and letting subscribers know about subscriptions outside of publishing that they’ve partnered with. For Conde Nast, readers are the first to be aware of when a print-only publication is also being offered digitally.
Beyond this, publishers are getting smarter about partnerships that connect the value of their content to physical experiences. We’re seeing a good number of publishers teaming up with different brands in different industries outside of the publishing world. These partnerships enable readers to access new deals for food delivery, takeout, personal care, cleaning supplies, and more. If you’re a publisher thinking about creating partnerships, how do you pick the right partners and optimize earnings? Audience match is key, and those insights are baked into subscription intelligence.
3. Fix the most common cause of cancellations and interruptions: failed payments
Many in media think of payment transactions as technical, backend stuff to worry about. But maintaining a seamless subscription experience means that publishers have to focus on organizing transactions in a way that will maximize the likelihood that they will not fail.
Payments that fail constitute 70% of potential revenue that could never be recovered again. In the subscription world, losing a paying reader can mean losing the present and future relationship that comes with each reader. That is why providing a good payments experience is key for retaining paying subscribers. It’s important to recover failed payments and prevent them from happening by keeping an eye on the following most common reasons for payments failure.
The most popular reasons that payments fail are: An outdated credit card number that the reader didn’t update the subscription about; errors in entering credit card information such as the wrong expiration month; insufficient funds; or change in billing address. Any of these common occurrences can happen.
Consider using software and subscription intelligence to salvage these transactions when they fail and to proactively set transactions up in a way that maximizes each transaction’s success rate. Publishers such as Wall Street Journal and The Dallas Morning News love the robustness and effectiveness of our software for recouping lost subscribers and revenue.
No churn = more return
Publishers—it’s disheartening to lose the readers whom you’ve worked so hard to acquire, nurture, and entertain. Publishing companies can do more to prevent readers from churning. By regularly reminding subscribers of the amazing content they’re paying for, expanding partnerships with brands outside of publishing, and by fixing failed payments on the backend, publishers can provide readers with more reasons to get value from their subscriptions. And more value means less reasons to cancel.
In science, experimentation is everything. In publishing, maybe not so much.
Innovation is the go-to buzzword for ambitious publishers, but there’s no such thing as plug-and-play innovation. You can’t buy it off the shelf. I’s a process not a product. And it’s always going to be specific to your business.
For workflow specialist Kilian Schalk, experimentation is a crucial part of that process. At the Magazine Street conference in Edinburgh, Scotland, last month, New York-based Schalk emphasized the need for publishing organizations to experiment constantly if they want to get better at what they do.
“Why would you experiment every day? Well, the point is that every little incremental change can make a difference. Every time you do something you’re thinking about it. You’re being present.”
With a career stretching from Rolling Stone to the New Yorker, Schalk understands that where you start experimenting depends on what it is you want to improve in your operation. However, your pain points are the best place to begin.
“What is most urgently in need of attention within the organization, those are good places to start,” he says.
He also recommends focusing first on experiments that will bring answers quickly.
Newsletters are often a great starting point. That’s because they have a regular cadence, which makes it easy to spot trends, and they operate with the same set of known users. You can also see results quickly. And adjustments made to a single email can deliver significant results.
Optimizing tactics
Effective experimentation should generally be focused on developing and optimizing tactics in the service of a larger strategy. Look first at your strategic plan and consider the measurable targets that you are trying to reach.
Schalk cautions that, sometimes the assumptions embedded in an overarching strategy can be shown to be incorrect. While this can be painful, he says it’s good news and better discovered sooner than later.
“Implementing strategies based on incorrect assumptions will drive organizations into a ditch and kill morale as well as belief in the leadership’s ability to lead,” he warns.
Becoming aware of untested assumptions is a particular challenge for leadership with deeply held beliefs about audiences or products. For Schalk the biggest asset in identifying and challenging these is a diverse and empowered team.
“People must feel free to draw on their own experience to question prevailing beliefs or speak up to ask: ‘How do we know that?’”
Schalk believes the first step surfacing assumptions that you can experiment on is to stay focused on what you are doing and ask questions as you go. He points to methods like the Five Whys to help drill down to the root cause of a problem. It works by identifying a problem and then asking why until you arrive at the reason it’s happening and, hopefully, a potential solution.
“Experimentation is not a lot of work,” says Schalk, “It’s a lot of thinking.”
Data is your friend
Before data was a thing, instinct was everything. Editors especially relied on their gut to make the big decisions from editorial calendars to cover stars. But in the world of real-time media metrics, behavioral data is a much more reliable indicator.
“Our gut instinct sometimes will lead us in good directions. But it’s most dangerous when it is unchallenged and unverified. Discovering that your instincts are incorrect is more valuable than reinforcing previously held beliefs.”
Schalk gives the example of a client whose social media schedule was driven by their content creation workflow. The publisher always shared social posts in the middle of the day, as soon as fresh content had been published to the web. Although they were unhappy with engagement levels, they had never stopped to think about the best time to post. They assumed that audiences would simply read content when it was posted.
Once they surfaced this issue, they tested the assumption by sharing their content at night instead of at 3pm. In doing so, they found that the aggregate audience engagement for their publication was five times higher at night. When they did some research they discovered their new audience were parents and, once they’d put their kids to sleep, that’s when they went on Facebook.
Critical thinking
Schalk says that if you think critically about the nature of your problems, the potential solution is usually not far behind. He explains that “learning how to learn” is a key skill in mastering an efficient experimental mindset and that comes from thinking critically and running experiments on a day-to-day basis.
Giving things a go is very different from running formal experimentation and while there are many ways to set up experiments, the most effective will answer the following three questions:
What has been happening?
What do we think will happen if we do something different?
How will we measure this?
Once the experiment has been run and the data gathered, you can then ask:
What actually happened?
How does what happened compare with what we thought would happen?
What did we learn?
Schalk says things are most likely to go off the rails when a publishing team doesn’t produce a written, measurable hypothesis that they are trying to prove or disprove. They haven’t answered the question ‘What do we think will happen?’
“The human instinct is to preserve energy by not going against the flow,” he explains. “This means people wait for the results then ‘rewrite’ the hypothesis in such a way that it justifies previously held beliefs. This is especially important when it comes to assumptions that leadership holds dear.”
Outside in
A key concern in deciding what experiments to run is whether to focus efforts internally or externally.
The decision ultimately depends on the specific needs of the business, but Schalk says that in a multi-channel world, most brands want to know about their audience first.
Once a clear understanding of what your audience responds well to and where organizational energy should be directed, the focus can shift to internal experiments that will help make specific workflows more efficient and effective, delivering more or different content at the right time to the right places.
From the stage in Edinburgh, Schalk gave some examples of experiments that delivered real results.
A weekly magazine, 100 years old, worried that their subscriber base was getting older. They assumed that their online engagement was concentrated among their oldest readers. However, they discovered that the youngest members of their audience were every bit as engaged online as the oldest. Taking this data as their starting point they experimented with a podcast targeting a younger demographic. It was a hit.
“I was supposed to have lunch with the editor, Zach, but he canceled on me because he had been invited to give a live performance of the podcast in Australia”.
A bi-weekly newspaper alternated print editions with an email newsletter. The open rates on the newsletter were dropping and they knew they were in trouble if they didn’t change something. Instead of publishing on Thursdays, they decided to experiment with a Saturday send. The hypothesis was that open rates would increase because people might have the time to sit back and read it on the weekend. Open rates doubled.
“It took probably 10 seconds to pick a different send time on their newsletter. They just had to have the imagination to try something different.”
A monthly magazine launched a weekly newsletter. Results were good, but they noticed a button in their email distribution service that said ‘Resend content’ which would send the email again to anyone who didn’t open it the first time. The resend increased their open rate by 12%, taking it from 39% to 51%.
“They used what I call the ‘what does this button do’ approach. Now, more than half the people that get their newsletter open it.”
Does experimentation work?
Schalk is careful to point out that not every experiment works and that there is no specific set of instructions or examples to follow. Of course, what works for some publishing organizations might not work for others.
He suggests that it’s OK to use other people’s results as inspiration. However it is important to recognize that unless you are working with your own data you won’t know what you are actually dealing with. “Your circumstances may be quite different from someone else’s. And you may get very different results from a similar experiment.”
Reassuringly, running your own experiments shouldn’t require a huge investment.
“The goal is to adjust what you are already doing in a way that allows you to learn something new. The power is to show you something you didn’t know you didn’t know.”
We live in a world where there is no shortage of data: first-party, third-party, and zero-party. However, most publishing organizations run the risk of boiling the ocean with too much data at their disposal and too little actionable insights to be gleaned from it. In my view, data visibility can bring alignment across multiple departments of a publishing organization and steer the organization towards common goals.
This post is about two specific use cases and actionable insights from first-party data that publishers can use to optimize their editorial and subscription strategies. These tangible use cases can help you seed a solid foundation for a data driven organization.
Using data to optimize editorial strategy
Most publishers rely on last touch attribution to understand which content converts users to subscriptions. No matter what attribution methodology you use, there are gaps in coordination between the editorial and marketing teams at most media organizations – which ultimately results in leaving subscription revenue on the table. Let’s take this 2×2 scatter plot as an example:
The ability to plot each piece of content on a conversions versus pageviews scatter plot can distill strategic outcomes for the entire organization. Each quadrant on the scatter plot leads to actionable insights for different departments:
High Conversions – High Pageviews: This segment of content is being marketed well and is generating high conversions. Maintaining status quo with all departments is recommended with content falling in this quadrant.
High Conversions – Low Pageviews: This segment of content is being marketed poorly but has high conversions. The marketing team should take action to promote this content across all of its channels.
Low Conversions – Low Pageviews: This segment of content is not converting. The action is on the editorial team to reconsider its strategy for this type of content. Alternatively, the subscriptions team can consider trying a lower priced offer for this type of content to test if the conversions go up.
Low Conversions – High Pageviews: This segment of content can be earmarked outside the paywall to maintain a healthy balance of site traffic.
The main takeaway to consider here is not about data collection but more about data representation and the importance of data visibility within the entire organization in near real-time. A simple graphic like this can help editorial and marketing teams understand what actions need to be taken. Still, there needs to be alignment on common goals, constant coordination, and outcome based service level agreements (SLAs) in place to execute on any editorial strategy.
Using simple data points to convert never-subscribers
Almost every publisher has two main types of audiences: ardent fans and casual users. For the sake of simplicity let’s call them subscribers and never-subscribers. To convert never-subscribers, you first have to know who they are. The good news is you don’t necessarily need sophisticated AI to understand who your never-subscribers are. There are many simpler options and proxies at your disposal.
Assuming you track the digital footprint for anonymous users, you can track which users have rejected your subscription paywall once or twice in the last 30 days. It is a clear indication that the user is casual in nature and potentially seeks another offer in order to convert to a paying user. Lowering the hurdle to a bitesize offer might be a prudent move at this stage.
Another proxy to identify never-subscribers would be to dissect the sources of your site traffic. Other than direct traffic, you will have traffic coming from social media, chat apps, content aggregator sites, search, paid media, etc. Attributing a scoring mechanism depending on the source could quickly help decipher if the anonymous user is a potential subscriber or not. For example, you may find Twitter users have a higher propensity to subscribe but Facebook users are very unlikely to subscribe. With this in mind, you should show a lower threshold offer to users landing from Facebook.
If you have global audiences, you could dissect anonymous users by geography. For example, you might say that domestic users are more inclined to take my all-you-can-eat subscription while international users will require a lower entry barrier. With this in mind, I might offer an introductory bitesize subscription option.
Here is an example that publishers can use to segment their audiences from very basic traffic data:
At the end of the day, if you are in the digital subscriptions business, your objective is to maximize your recurring revenue. This requires you to understand the lowest payment threshold an individual user is willing to commit to. With that information in hand, your marketing team must make a concerted effort to re-engage the user to move up your value chain.
About the author
Abhishek Sharma is a Co-Founder and CTO of Fewcents, a plug-and-play solution for publishers and creators to collect small payments in 80+ currencies. He has 18 years of experience in strategic consulting, vendor management, project and delivery management, business analysis, solution design, and application development. He specializes in building high-frequency trading systems, integrating with payment partners such as Paypal, Stripe, etc, and working on regulatory risk engines using big data technologies. Prior to this, Abhishek worked at DBS Bank, Credit Agricole, and MSCI Inc.
The pandemic marked a period of explosive growth for subscription commerce. However–given the economic situation, easing restrictions, and a shift in lifestyle–the tides have turned.
Subscription brands—especially media organizations—are seeing new challenges arise in both retention and acquisition. Streaming giant Netflix made headlines by losing 200 million and nearly 100 million subscribers in two consecutive quarters this year. A different strategy and renewed attention are required to expertly navigate this next phase of our endemic subscription landscape and beyond.
In this article, we delve into what’s changing in the subscription landscape and how recurring revenue businesses can adapt and flourish.
The changing sands in subscription commerce
The same factors that fueled the subscription explosion during the pandemic seem to now be shifting in the opposite direction. Our research has found a number of factors that are impacting consumer appetite for subscriptions and the overall subscription landscape:
Shrinking expense budgets: Rising inflation and fears of an impending recession are curtailing consumers’ discretionary spending behavior. Just over 90% of subscribers say they are concerned about inflation and its impact on the cost of goods and services.
Reduced movement restrictions: As social distancing compulsions ease, people are once again enjoying in-person shopping experiences. This movement shifts several premium-priced subscription categories from “necessities” to convenience-based “luxuries.” The impact is clearly felt in consumers’ increased cost sensitivity towards subscriptions, which has dropped from 2% in October 2021 to 22% in March 2022.
Lifestyle changes: As travel and entertainment options resume, lifestyle shifts are happening. Statistically, 46% of consumers expressed excitement about in-person dining, 45% about domestic travel, and 43% about in-person events. This shifting preference has a natural spillover to weekends dining out instead of dining in, for example. This impacts the different “stay-at-home” subscription bundles like meal kits.
Classic subscription fatigue: The impact of subscription fatigue is also becoming apparent. Consumers realize they are spending more on subscriptions than they need or desire. In addition, 22% suggest feeling overwhelmed with the number of subscriptions they currently own. And that clearly feeds into their decision to withdraw.
What to make of this mercurial market? It’s time for merchants to harness the above insights to intervene and adapt.
How to stabilize during this COVID aftermath
Stabilizing through the changing tides requires businesses to pivot their subscription models to increase consumer value perception as a result of their changing interests.
Here are some actionable ways merchants can adapt to changing consumer preferences:
Help people save money: As consumers become more cost-conscious, offering subscriptions that promote saving can be powerful. As found in a Recurly study, only 20% of U.S. subscribers intend to sign up for more subscription services, while 49% plan to keep their subscriptions the same due to the rising prices. Introducing “Subscribe and save options” or providing handsome bargains for “lock-in” subscriptions–for example, securing an annual subscription at a lower monthly rate–can be helpful to reverse price-conscious unsubscribes.
Introduce greater price flexibility: For non-essential subscriptions (the “nice-to-haves”), offering tiered packages can help mitigate churn risks. Allowing users to pay less for reduced features can fuel retention. Netflix has leveraged this by offering lower subscription fees for consumers consenting to watch ads.
Put customers in the driver’s seat: Customers now want greater freedom, personalization, and choices as their lifestyles change and consumption patterns shift. For example, 82% of subscribers state that being able to pay with their preferred payment methods is one of the features they want most from merchants–and that’s up from 69% in October 2021. That said, offering too many options can cause analysis paralysis, so experiment with pricing and packaging to find the right balance for your subscribers.
Help people save their time: Studies suggest 81% of shoppers wouldn’t mind continuing subscriptions if they could save time and enjoy greater convenience, despite surging inflation. Merchants offering pricier subscription bundles that help people save the value of their time can continue to triumph if they can effectively convey that value.
Ensure excellent customer experiences:Customer experience remains paramount to successful subscriptions and even more so in the current volatile and maturing market. Allowing customers to pay easily with their preferred payment methods, access flexible renewal and cancellation opportunities, and enjoy prompt support as needed will fuel lasting retention outcomes.
Increase win-back chances with pause options: Despite efforts toward retention, some customer segments may still be unwilling or unable to continue.. Offering them a softer alternative of pause can help to retain them in the fold and increase their likelihood to re-subscribe in the future. We’ve seen merchants that use our pause feature experience a 46% reactivation rate, demonstrating the power of this magical button.
While the pandemic accelerated the demand for subscriptions, the current correction demands a pivot to thrive in this evolving market and inflationary climate.
Subscribers continue to seek value–whether for their money, time, or both. Hitting the sweet spot requires making necessary changes to existing models or subscription bundles to adhere to the reimagined consumers’ preferences.
About the author
Theresa McEndree is the Chief Marketing Officer at Recurly, a subscription management and billing platform that maximizes subscriber lifetime value with expertise, technology, and insights for global brands.
Over the past 20-plus years, digital subscriptions have become essential to sustainable growth for media companies as part of their revenue diversification strategy. We know the pandemic created a strong consumer appetite for subscriptions. However, the digital media industry is wisely considering the future trajectory as the subscription marketplace faces heightened competition and inflation.
The research
Digital Content Next (DCN) partnered with FT Strategies to better understand the digital subscription market, explore the macroeconomic influences, and identify best practices for future growth.
The research, Navigating the Future of Digital Subscriptions, used a three-prong approach to analyze market conditions and identify business practices for subscription growth.
Qualitative interviews with a subset of senior executives from DCN member organizations to discuss business development and strategies for capturing future opportunities.
A quantitative survey among DCN member organizations on their priorities for the future as the subscription economy develops.
Review of data, analyses, and reports from the government, financial institutions, industry, trade organizations, trade publications, and consulting firms to identify and explain factors affecting the overall economic climate in the U.S. and their impact on the digital subscription economy.
Macro analysis
The Covid pandemic was a critical inflection point that significantly impacted consumer behavior and subscription offerings in the digital content market. However, as the effects of the pandemic wane, the market faces new economic pressures.
On the business side, higher interest rates could affect business investment. For consumers, increasing inflation rates, accelerating price-increases, and the reduction in consumer savings may force many to cut back on what they deem non-essential. Further, falling unemployment rates impact digital media companies in acquiring and retaining talent, which can also add costs.
Even with the economic factors plaguing the market, our analysis concludes that the digital subscription economy is expected to continue its strong growth and is somewhat insulated from adverse economic conditions. However, digital content companies must be mindful of the risks posed by the changing macroeconomic climate.
The report, which is available to members of DCN, provides details on the economic forecasts for advertising and subscription revenue, plus additional insight into the cost of doing business and the competitive marketplace. As the subscription economy continues to grow over the next three years, audiences will likely be the target of many subscription businesses from a broader set of media outlets.
Navigating the future
The research outlines four areas of focus on how best to navigate and implement new strategies for future growth in digital subscriptions.
Align the subscription mission with a highly collaborative organizational structure.
Find and leverage the right audience data to act as a common language across the organization.
Think more broadly about what innovation means to attract new audiences.
Expand content distribution to accelerate audience growth.
Digital media companies are in a stronger position now to invest and prioritize their subscription business. While overall market projections look positive, monitoring and responding to shifts in macroeconomic factors is essential to inform how best to navigate the future of the digital subscription business. The full report includes a macro analysis of current market conditions, market forecast, and steps to navigate future subscription growth.
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