The numbers are in – and they are damning. DCN’s latest member-survey shows median year-over-year referral traffic from Google Search to premium publishers down 10% over just eight weeks. Non-news brands took the biggest hit, down 14%. News brands fell 7%. Declines outnumbered gains two-to-one, most in the -1% to -25% range.
The worst weeks were brutal: news brands plunged 16% the week of May 25th; non-news fell 17% the week of June 22nd. Mind you, these aren’t random fluctuations. They are sustained losses hitting both breaking news publishers and evergreen entertainment brands. And let’s not forget that this is the exact content Google’s AI is trained on and now replaces with its own summaries. The company that has long draped itself in the flag of the open web is now trampling it, trading the public square for a walled garden built on monopoly profits.
From search “partner” to search competitor
Over the past year starting in May 2024, Google has been rolling out AI Overviews, now AI Mode. These AI-generated answers, in which Google synthesizes publisher content into Google’s own product, sit at the very top of search results. This transforms what has long been the discovery engine for our daily lives into a place where all traffic dead ends at Google. Searchers get an answer and the click to the source vanishes. Of course, that’s the point. Google wins.
The Pew Research Center recently confirmed what DCN’s member data makes plain: when AI Overviews are present, users are significantly “less likely” to click on links to publisher websites. Instead, they stay on Google, consuming summaries pulled significantly from Wikipedia, Reddit, YouTube, and work of premium publishers, all of whose content the AI is paraphrasing.
This is the definition of what has long been called a “zero-click” environment. In this system, the platform harvests and delivers information without sending the reader to those who actually created it, often at significant cost and always with the intention of serving their own audiences. For premium publishers, it means fewer readers, ad impressions, and subscription conversions. For the open web, it means less discovery, diversity, and accountability in the information ecosystem.
Google’s sunny story – and the cloudy reality
On August 6th, Google published a blog post proclaiming (arguably gaslighting) that “AI in Search is driving more queries and higher-quality clicks.” The tone, utterly unsupported by data, suggests that publishers should be thrilled.
The reality drawn from DCN’s member data – which spans 19 companies, from major national newsrooms to global entertainment brands – tells quite a different story. Over eight weeks in May and June 2025, the median Google Search referral was down almost every week, with losses outpacing gains two-to-one. For non-news brands, the downward slope was steady and unbroken.
This isn’t noise. It’s a structural change in how Google distributes (or withholds) traffic. And it comes as Google sits on more than 95% of the mobile search market, with a pending remedies order from Judge Amit Mehta in the landmark U.S. v. Google Search antitrust case. Unless Judge Mehta adopts the Justice Department’s proposed publisher safeguards and immediately restricts Google’s tying of AI training of AI Overviews to search inclusion, the “recidivist monopolist” will keep publishers in handcuffs.
Why this matters for the future of journalism and entertainment
For DCN members, 78% of digital revenue still comes from advertising. That revenue depends on reach. Every point of search traffic lost to AI modules squeezes the budgets that fund investigative reporting, global coverage, and ambitious entertainment.
In terms of advertising monetization, this continues a trend DCN has been monitoring for the last decade. During this period, Google’s advertising revenues have shifted from a 50/50 split with the rest of the web to surpassing more than 90% last quarter for the first time.
And the harm isn’t limited to media companies. When Google’s AI modules surface information from unverified or lightly moderated sources like Reddit or YouTube – sometimes above trusted, accountable outlets – users get convenience at the expense of quality. It’s a degradation of the public information supply, dressed up as innovation.
A familiar pattern, with a dangerous twist
This certainly isn’t the first time platforms have siphoned value from publishers. Google’s featured snippets, Accelerated Mobile Pages (AMP), and Facebook Instant Articles all promised to improve the user experience. And all ended up centralizing control and weakening the economics of publishing across the open web.
The difference now is intent. Google’s AI results don’t just excerpt; they replace. Pew’s research shows many users stop at the AI answer. That’s direct substitution, without fair bargaining or licensing, and it maps to the declines DCN measured.
Even breaking news, which DCN members suggest is still somewhat protected from AI Overviews, isn’t entirely safe. As the AI models improve and update faster with daily training, even those moments of publisher advantage may vanish.
What needs to change
- Transparency: Google must disclose auditable data on AI Overview click-through rates by query type, content category, and geography.
- Real opt-out: publishers need a way to block use of their content in AI answers without sacrificing search visibility.
- Fair licensing: if OpenAI, Amazon, News Corp, The Guardian, The Atlantic, and others can make licensing deals, so can Google. It’s an emerging, important market for publishers.
- Regulatory oversight: treat AI Overviews and AI Mode as part of Google’s search monopoly. A monopoly self-preferencing is not innovation; it’s foreclosure.
The choice ahead
Premium journalism and entertainment don’t appear by magic. They’re the product of significant investment, skilled creators, editorial standards, and increasing risk. Google’s AI rides on that work, and now threatens to cut off the audience that sustains it.
This is not a call for special treatment. It’s a call to preserve the integrity of the open web. We must ensure that the same AI “answers” users see at the top of Google Search don’t become a free substitute for the original work they’re based on.
If we allow the search monopoly to wall off the web behind AI-generated summaries, we’ll end up with fewer sources, weaker journalism, and a less informed public. The open web is worth defending. And the data is clear: the time to act is now.